Polymarket market context
Market title, outcome definitions, resolution criteria, current price or odds context, time horizon, and the specific Polymarket analysis question your team wants to research.
Prediction market research
MiroFish for Polymarket Market Research
Use MiroFish as a Polymarket research tool for market analysis, prediction market scenarios, resolution criteria, uncertainty review, and evidence gap discovery before forming a market view.
Built for scenario planning, not certainty. Every output should be reviewed against real evidence before an operating decision.
Scenario tape / illustrative
Polymarket market research for an event question
R1
Market questionOutcome frame mapped
R2
News and evidenceSignal gap appears
R3
Market participantsNarrative split forms
Research target
Market narrative
Uncertainty source
Event signal
Review gap
Missing evidence
Input
Market question, sources, odds context
Engine
Event paths + participant narrative rounds
Output
Research gaps and scenario questions
What to bring
Bring the market question before the odds become the whole story.
Polymarket market research works best when the source material includes the market question, resolution criteria, recent news, public evidence, likely participant narratives, current market context, and the uncertainty you want to inspect.
Evidence and event signals
News articles, public statements, data points, timelines, expert notes, social narratives, and unresolved claims that may change expectations.
Participant and narrative views
Bull and bear arguments, crowd assumptions, likely information asymmetry, contrarian views, and narratives that could move market interpretation.
Where it earns its keep
Use Polymarket as a question, not as an answer.
Prediction market prices are useful signals, but the research job is to understand what evidence, narratives, and event paths could make the market view change.
Market narrative01
Map the competing stories behind the market.
Inspect the assumptions participants may be using, where narratives diverge, and which evidence could change confidence.
Event scenario02
Simulate how new information may shift interpretation.
Run event paths around announcements, polls, legal decisions, product launches, policy moves, or other signals relevant to a market.
Evidence gap03
Find what the market may not be pricing clearly.
Surface missing sources, ambiguous resolution criteria, weak assumptions, and follow-up research questions before relying on a market read.
Prediction market research needs evidence, narratives, and resolution criteria.
MiroFish turns Polymarket market analysis context into actors, event paths, uncertainty drivers, and narrative rounds so the market view can be inspected instead of accepted blindly.
Stage 1
Ground the scenario
Upload source material and define the decision, event, or message you want to test.
Stage 2
Build the actor graph
Map the people, groups, incentives, constraints, and memory that shape the reaction.
Stage 3
Run reaction rounds
Let the simulated actors respond over multiple rounds so the second-order path appears.
Stage 4
Question the report
Review the trajectory, risks, weak assumptions, and what evidence would change the conclusion.
What the report should answer
The report should improve market research discipline.
- Which event path could change the Polymarket market narrative
- Which assumption appears fragile or under-evidenced
- Which participant narrative is most likely to dominate
- Which resolution or timing detail needs review
- Which source, question, or follow-up simulation should come next
Boundary conditions
Not trading advice or an official Polymarket integration.
- Not investment, financial, legal, or trading advice
- Not a guarantee of market movement, probability, profit, or prediction accuracy
- Not an official Polymarket partnership, integration, or endorsement
- Not live market monitoring unless current market data and sources are provided
- Not useful when the market question or resolution criteria are unclear
Why MiroFish
Polymarket analysis needs assumptions, not just odds.
Generic AI can summarize a market page. MiroFish helps teams inspect the evidence, event paths, participant narratives, resolution criteria, and uncertainty behind a prediction market question.
Market view
Generic AI
Summarizes current odds
MiroFish
Maps odds context to evidence, narratives, and event paths
Uncertainty
Generic AI
Lists broad pros and cons
MiroFish
Shows fragile assumptions, missing sources, and resolution risks
Next research
Generic AI
Gives a confident take
MiroFish
Returns follow-up questions and scenarios to inspect before acting
FAQ
Polymarket market research, without trading claims.
Use MiroFish to inspect prediction market uncertainty and evidence gaps, not to receive trading signals.
How can I use MiroFish with Polymarket?+
You can use MiroFish as a Polymarket research tool by uploading the market context, resolution criteria, sources, news signals, and competing narratives. MiroFish turns that material into event paths, uncertainty drivers, and follow-up research questions.
Is this an official Polymarket integration?+
No. This page describes a MiroFish research workflow for Polymarket-style prediction market analysis. It does not claim an official Polymarket partnership, endorsement, or integration.
Can MiroFish tell me what to trade?+
No. MiroFish does not provide investment, financial, legal, or trading advice. It helps inspect assumptions, evidence gaps, and plausible event scenarios behind a market view.
What should I upload?+
Upload the Polymarket market question, resolution criteria, current price or odds context if available, news sources, public statements, timelines, data points, and the bull or bear arguments you want to test.
How is this different from predictive simulation?+
Predictive simulation is the general method for exploring future paths. Polymarket market research applies that method to prediction markets, where resolution criteria, crowd narratives, event timing, and evidence gaps are central.
Related simulation paths
Follow the risk into the next decision.
Most decisions do not stay inside one category. These adjacent use cases help teams test the next market, customer, or public reaction path.
YES catalyst
Bull Shock Simulation
Inject a YES-side catalyst into a prediction market scenario and compare baseline, bull, and bear paths.
Open Bull Shock SimulationForecast bot
Prediction Bot
Use an AI prediction bot workflow to turn evidence, actors, signals, and uncertainty into reviewable forecast paths.
Open Prediction BotPredictive paths
Predictive Simulation
Use evidence, actors, constraints, and reaction rounds to inspect plausible future paths before a decision.
Open Predictive SimulationResearch the market view
Turn a Polymarket question into scenarios you can inspect.
Bring the market question, resolution criteria, sources, and competing narratives. MiroFish will turn them into a prediction market research report with visible assumptions.
Start Polymarket research